Initial predictions show that President Emmanuel Macron will lose an absolute majority in parliament

President Emmanuel Macron will lose the absolute majority in parliament and lose control of the reform agenda after the first predictions by four pollsters have shown that they have realized a hung parliament in Sunday’s elections.

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Macron’s Centrist Ensemble! According to polls, the alliance was eventually set to win the most seats, followed by left-wing Nupesbrock, led by left-wing veteran Jean-Luc Melenceon.

The absolute majority threshold is 289 seats in the House of Representatives, and the four pollsters’ predictions varied, but all agreed Macron and his allies are well below that.

Individual predictions by pollsters Ifop, OpinionWay, Elabo, and Ipsos show that Macron’s ensemble alliance has won 200-260 seats and Nupes has 149-200 seats.

If confirmed, the hung parliament opens a period of political uncertainty that requires some degree of power sharing between political parties that has never been experienced in France in decades, or else political paralysis. It causes and in some cases even repeats elections.

Macron’s ability to pursue further reforms of the second-largest economy in the euro area will depend on his ability to rally moderates outside his alliance on the left and right of his legislative agenda.

At the Nupe headquarters, people applauded, chanted, and cheered when the first first quote came.

In another major change in French politics, Marine Le Pen’s far-right party could win 100 seats, with initial predictions showing the highest score on record.

Conservative Republicans and allies could also win 100, which could make them kingmakers.

Macron, 44, became President of France in April for the first time in 20 years, but oversees a very disillusioned and divided country with a surge in support for the left and right populist parties. doing.


He appealed for a powerful mission during a campaign held against the backdrop of the war on the eastern tip of Europe, which curtailed food and energy supplies, soared inflation, and eroded households.

“There is nothing worse than adding the turmoil of France to the turmoil of the world,” the president said prior to the second round of voting.

Melenceon’s Nupes Alliance has campaigned to freeze prices for essentials, lower retirement ages, limit inheritance, and ban companies that pay dividends from dismissed workers. Melenceon also seeks disobedience to the European Union.

Macron’s political alliance cast Melenceon as a “sinister instigator” to destroy France. Christoph Castana, one of the ruling party’s top lawmakers, accused his economic plan of “a pile of Soviet-era clichés.”

“It’s out of the question to vote for Melention’s ridiculous proposal. Exile themselves from Europe and other nonsense, and raise money,” said Joyce Villemur, a pensioner who voted in Sèvres, a suburb of Paris. That’s impossible. “

Initial estimates indicate that Nupes wasn’t enough to win a majority of the ruling party, but would rob Macron of the same and become the biggest opponent in Congress.

If Macron and his allies miss a significant majority, as initial predictions suggest, they must seek an alliance with a conservative Republican Party or negotiate law with other parties on a case-by-case basis. May run a minority government-case-based. Initial predictions show that President Emmanuel Macron will lose an absolute majority in parliament

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