Latest polls suggest new political party to join parliament / article

With parliamentary elections scheduled for Oct. 1, about half of the 19 parties running for office have secured seats in the Saema House, along with a number of smaller, new parties that have not been completely left out of the race. could be claimed.

I was asked, “If the Saima City election were held tomorrow, which political party or organization would you vote for?” Her 1,848 Latvian citizens surveyed in August responded:

Prime Minister Krishjanis Kalish’s Jauna Vienotība (New Unity, JV) remains at the top of the list, with 8.3% of respondents choosing it, though down slightly from July’s 8.8%. In second place is the center-right Nacionala Apvienība (National Alliance, NA), another of his parties in the current coalition, with his 7.5% approval rating, the same level as in July.

In third place is the Saskaņa (Harmony, S) party, which traditionally has a lot of support from Latvia’s majority Russian minority. That rating dropped from 7.3% in July to 6.6% for him in August. Fourth is Zaļo un zemnieku savienība (Green Party and Peasants Union, ZZS), who has been declared guilty of large-scale fraud and has named someone subject to US sanctions, although or perhaps it Because of that, the rating actually went up from 5.1% to 6.4%. Its preferred prime minister candidate.

In fifth place is left-leaning Progressives (Progressives, P) with 5.1%, the first political party not currently represented in Saeima to rank. Next is another relatively new and unrepresented political force. Avienotai Saraxto (United list, AS), made up of various allied minor parties, received 4.7% support, beating the coalition’s liberal Attistibai/Par! (Development/For!) at 4.5%. The newly formed Euroskeptic Stabilitate! (For stability!) 3.1% is the only opponent with over 3% support.

However, 14.3% of respondents said they “didn’t vote at all” and 25.2% said they “didn’t decide who to vote for” (25.2%). The 5% threshold for winning a seat applies to the number of votes cast, not the total electorate, so if voter turnout is low, parties with relatively few votes will still win seats It means that there is a real possibility.

Factoring this into the SKDS model, all eight of the above parties won seats in parliament, with two more elected: Konservatīvie (Conservative Party, K) and the pro-Russian Latvijas Krievu Savienība (Latvian Russian Federation, LKS). expected to be Just below threshold.

Over the next few days, we’ll take a closer look at political parties and their election manifestos.

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