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Modi’s popularity is at stake while India prepares for a state poll

The outcome of the local elections could strengthen BJP’s seize of power or give the fragmented opposition the coveted boost.

India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi has no plans to be reelected for at least another two years, as the country’s next parliamentary election is scheduled for 2024.

Still, his popularity and the popularity of his ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) have been severely challenged by the clutches of important local elections scheduled for February and March.

Modi himself did not participate in the vote, but the vote to elect 690 local councilors in the five states of Uttarakhand, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa, and Manipur was the national highest election referendum. It will be a mini referendum on his rule.

In elections where about 18 million voters are eligible to vote, stakes are high. India is made up of even more people, to be exact 1.3 billion, but the verdict of the people on March 10 is awaited.

Riding on the results will ultimately determine the course of India’s politics. A good result in the BJP poll will further strengthen Modi’s personality as a populist influential person and set him as a clear favorite for reelection for a five-year term for the third consecutive year.

It also includes more power for his government, which is already considered authoritarian by some, and a controversial policy for Hindu rule at the expense of other communities. , Would mean the continuation of that disputed policy. Modi’s critics say his nationalist Hindu agenda has stripped India’s secular character and threatened the lives and livelihoods of minorities such as Muslims.

However, poll recessions can have serious consequences as well. It doesn’t mean the end of Modi, but after all, it swept the 2019 parliamentary elections in just a few months after suffering embarrassing voting losses in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan. Depressed opposition.

The results are of particular importance to Parliament, which has led the country’s free struggle and has made a mark throughout the country. In recent years, its influence has diminished, and its claim as a major glue to the opposition’s rank is increasingly challenged by ambitious regional costumes aimed at opening up space for themselves. increase.

The next elections in the five states will provide Congress with another opportunity to stop its fate slip. Its presence in Uttar Pradesh is small, but it is in competition to take power from BJPs in Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa. The party also seeks to retain power in Punjab.

A credible show for Congress will hopefully calm the story that the party is past its sold-out date. In the shadow of the past, Parliament is still the second largest political party in the country. Opposite efforts to dismiss Modi in 2024 could become a parliamentary farmer, securing about 20% of popularity polls nationwide, compared to 38% of BJP in the 2019 poll It’s very expensive.

Modi said that if the BJP had a terrible result in this election round (promoted as the semi-final of the 2024 congressional poll), the opposition would form a coalition with a rejuvenated parliament that was important, if not important. I am keenly aware of doubling the effort to build. role.

Politics is primarily about cognition, and the hard-headed politician Modi doesn’t want to look weak by giving up grounds.

His party is out of the calculation in Punjab, largely due to the unpopular farming practices his government tried to push through, despite fierce opposition from state farmers.Farmers Finally won And Modi was forced to regain the law, BJP’s popularity has not yet recovered in the state.

But Modi and his party are hoping that they will do much better in the other four states. They were in power in all these states, including Gore and Manipur, where the party was actually defeated last time, but were still able to maintain power through engineering asylum from other parties.

Regaining them will further refine BJP’s image as invincible. It claims to be the largest political party in the world and undoubtedly boasts a ruthless election system. Helped by Modi’s personality and promise of a better life, Modi has won overwhelmingly in two consecutive national elections. First in 2014 and then in 2019.

However, the party’s performance is mottled in state elections, often centered on local leaders and regional issues. He won in the northeastern part of Assam, but was defeated in important states such as Maharashtra. It is famous for losing to the local costumes of West Bengal last year.

Again, success is not guaranteed.

Bruises and fierce battles in particular will be the battle of Uttar Pradesh, the biggest award at stake. Uttar Pradesh, about the same size as the United Kingdom, is India’s most populous state, occupying 80 of the country’s 543 seats.

The Uttar Pradesh verdict may reflect the country’s current mood.The state is currently managed by BJP’s self-proclaimed Hindu monks Yogi Adityanath, Known for his authoritarian style. However, few can authoritatively predict possible election outcomes in the state.

Adityanath, a Hindu nationalist BJP poster boy, was a divisive figure, despite his loud allegations that he brought unprecedented development to the state.He constantly suffered management mistakes that resulted in massive death during the coronavirus pandemic. Share situation.

Opposition wants to take advantage of grassroots wrath to change BJP’s table. They also hope that India’s economic stagnation, rising unemployment and rising fuel prices will diminish the brilliance of Modi.

Everyone expects the election contest to be near. And, as the Indian newspaper recently summarized it, March 10th will be the day of calculations for both the BJP and the opposition.

Disclaimer: The views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect the views, views and editorial policies of TRT World.

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Source: TRT World

https://www.trtworld.com/opinion/modi-s-popularity-is-at-stake-as-india-prepares-for-state-polls-53606?utm_source=other&utm_medium=rss Modi’s popularity is at stake while India prepares for a state poll

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